Welcome to my 2nd annual Oscar Predictions. 2009 was a little better than 2008, but not by much. This what I think will win, not what I want to win.
Best Picture- Avatar. This is a shame, but Avatar will win just for the effort and the industry needs this. I think Inglourious Basterds is by far the best film of the year and will come in second place which means nothing. Up and The Hurt Locker are the only really good films nominated this year. Ignored: It's already ridiculous the Academy went to 10 nominations this year and they still couldn't get it right. Moon, The Road, and Fantastic Mr. Fox are better than 8 of the nominations and I rather read stereo instructions for 2 hours than ever watch The Blind Side.
Best Actor- Jeff Bridges. This seems like a slam dunk win for Bridges, but I was happy to see Jeremy Renner nominated. Ignored: Rockwell for Moon and Viggo for The Road! Robbed, Robbed, Robbed! I tell ya! I also liked Matt Damon in The Informant!
Best Actress-Sandra Bullock. I think I just puked in my mouth a little. Looks like Erin Brockovich wins again, what a weak catagory. Ignored: Can't think of anything.
Best Supporting Actor- Christoph Waltz. Nothing touches this performance, nothing! Best performance of the year by far! Ignored: Anthony Mackie and Ralph Fiennes in The Hurt Locker. Michael Fassbender and about 4 others in Basterds.
Best Supporting Actress- Monique. Haven't seen this film, but she will win. I also thought Vera Farmiga was really good in Up In The Air. Ignored: Diane Kruger and Melanie Laurent for Basterds.
Best Director- Quentin Tarantino. I hope the Acadamy relizes this catagory is for directing actors and not spectacles. Everyone is good in Basterds and no one is good in Avatar. I wouldn't be super pissed if Bigelow wins, but QT is the best director of the year. Ignored: Duncan Jones for Moon and John Hillcoat for The Road. I am still in shock that these films were shut out this year.
Original Screenplay-Inglourious Basterds. The one category that there is always justice, I think this is a sure thing. I was happy with Up being nominated. Ignored: MOON!
Adapted Screenplay-Precious. This should be a strong catagory this year, but nominating the wrong films made it weak. Ignored: Harry Potter, Fantastic Mr. Fox, The Road. All of these films are better than the nominated ones.
Cinematography- The White Ribbon. You ever play roulette? Always bet on Black and White! This is yet another weak catagory because the wrong films were nominated. Christian Berger's photography is breath taking and easily the best looking film of the year, but if Lord Of The Rings can win then anything can win. Ignored: A Serious Man, Fantastic Mr. Fox, Where The Wild Things Are, shall I go on? 80% of the films relesed this year look better than Harry Potter and Avatar.
Editing-Avatar. If you win editing then it's a 90% chance you win Best Picture, but Basterds and Hurt Locker deserve it more. Ignored:Moon, Fantastic Mr. Fox, Up, and The Road.
Foreign Film- White Ribbon. If you are nominated for another catagory you win.
Best Animated- Up. Same as above. Up and Mr. Fox were two of the best films this year.
Art Direction, Make Up and Costume Design-The Young Victoria. The title says it all. Ignored: Where The Wild Thigs Are.
Sound Editing,Mixing, and Visual Effects-Avatar. SLAM Freaking Dunk!
Score-Avatar. Ignored: Where The Wild Things Are, Moon, and Black Dynamite.
Song- The Weary Kind-Crazy Heart. T-Bone!
Documentary- Burma VJ. Food Inc was ok and I did enjoy The Most Dangerous Man, but Burma is what the Acadamy looks for in a Doc.
Doc.Short-Rabbit a la Berlin- It's about The Berlin Wall, That's Oscar gold next to Nazi films.
Short Film-Kavi. It takes place in India and after Slumdog these films are right behind Nazi's and The Berlin Wall.
Short Animated- A Matter Of Loaf and Death. Two Words, Wallace & Gromit!
Well thats it! Please send some feed back and let's hope I did better than last year.
Good picks, I think you'll clean up.
ReplyDeleteStill not sure what your hard on for QT is all about. The only award QT deserves to win is the plagiarism of Sergio Leone award. Maybe the plotholes award, or the misleading title award.
You're right that some of the acting is good in Basterds, but Best Director is more than "best director of actors" (that would be like nominating the director of Crazy Heart).
Besides, at least Avatar, for all it's flaws, has a point. Basterds is about almost nothing, just a hard-on for other WWII movies, no theme, except some half-assed BS about revenge. It also doesn't deserve the editing award either, since every scene in the movie is edited the same as the first scene, there's no variety, it's always the same prolonged tension build, which makes it literally monotonous.
Anyway, yeah, Damon in The Informant was robbed. And I didn't even think about Serious Man for cinematography, but Deakins almost makes that movie seem more than just Jews being assholes.
The actress award is retarded. The fact that Bullock is going to win for that racist nonsense is like reinstating Jim Crow laws. They're gonna have to give something to Cuba again to make up for it.